Minnesota State Cross Country 2014 Predictions - Class AA

Everyone will have their predictions and virtual meets this coming week in anticipation of the 2014 Minnesota State Cross Country Championships at St. Olaf College in Northfield on November 1. The AA boys, with defending champion Wayzata, kick things off at 1 PM. Followed by the AA Girls, with Wayzata going for a three-peat, at 2 PM. My issue with these prognosticators, is they will base their predictions on everyone's season best times. I just don't think that is valid for many reasons including, and not limited to: course distances, course surfaces, course topography. I conducted a virtual meet using ONLY the results from the eight sections. I then compiled all the team qualifiers (two teams per section) plus the individual qualifiers. I then crunched the numbers, scoring teams based on just the team qualifiers, as individual runners do not figure into team scoring. Of course, the same argument (varying courses) can be used with this method as well, but at least we are using data from each runners last race prior to the State Meet. So, going with the hot hand, and rewarding those teams/individuals riding upward momentum. Keep in mind, this is just for fun, and just creates additional topic for any debate: Boys AA Wayzata 38 Hopkins 78 STMA 165 Stillwater 179 Chaska 184 Rochester Century 195 Centennial 195 Prior Lake 202 Shakopee 218 Alexandria 260 Red Wing 262 Rosemount 275 Bemidji 285 Elk River 304 WBL 331 Andover 350 Girls AA Wayzata 89 Willmar 112 Edina 121 Marshall 177 Lakeville South 183 STMA 189 Bemidji 191 Chaska 202 East Ridge 207 Forest Lake 207 Austin 224 Eagan 269 Centennial 299 Duluth East 301 East View 316 White Bear 383 Boys AA Top 20 Individuals Klecker, Joe Hopkins High School Olson, Connor Wayzata High School Cayo, Chase Saint Michael-Albertville High School Hesse-withbroe, Bailey Stillwater High School Carpenter, Jaret Wayzata High School Mahmoud, Faysao Burnsville High School Kurak, Reed Centennial High School Duerr, Joey Chaska High School Eklin, Ian Wayzata High School Ramlet, Logan Edina High School Hoeft, Owen Hopkins High School Hyytinen, Justin Farmington High School Ali, Hamza Minneapolis Washburn High School Lawson, Nick Saint Anthony Village High School Sell, Andrew Minneapolis Washburn High School Goodell, Jackson Albert Lea High School Quirk, Andrew Wayzata High School Massot, Seth Rochester Century High School Rachel, Kyle Shakopee High School Shaleen, Nicholas Wayzata High School Girls AA Top 20 Individuals Hasz, Megan Alexandria Jefferson High School Hasz, Bethany Alexandria Jefferson High School Misgen, Tess Shakopee High School French, Anna Wayzata High School Armstrong, Jasmyn Red Wing High School King, Rachel Saint Michael-Albertville High School Christensen, Emma Rochester John Marshall Covert, Emily Minneapolis Washburn High School Korzenowski, Anastasia Chanhassen High School Benner, Emma Forest Lake Lerdall, Annika Wayzata High School Boersma, Claire Marshall High School Keller-miller, Michaela Wayzata High School Mosborg, Amanda Edina High School Hanson, Samantha Willmar High School Betz, Emily East Ridge HS Hamrin, Sadie Bemidji High School Peterson, Lauren Farmington High School Heil, Lizzy Saint Michael-Albertville High School Berg, Maria New Prague High School It will be interesting to see if this methodology is any more, or less, accurate than that of using season-best times.

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Minnesota State Cross Country 2014 Predictions - Class AA is an episode from The Tundra Transition Zone by Brian Maas.

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This episode was published on Oct 26, 2014.

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