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Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials artwork
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Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials

Horns of a Dilemma by War on the Rocks

Dr. Jeffrey Friedman, an associate professor at Dartmouth College, reveals striking findings that seasoned national security professionals often misjudge uncertainty. This overview of his latest TNSR article, "The World...

About This Episode

Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials is an episode from Horns of a Dilemma by War on the Rocks. Dr. Jeffrey Friedman, an associate professor at Dartmouth College, reveals striking findings that seas...

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Episode Details

Published Sep 23, 2025, 37:31 long, audio available.

Questions About This Episode

What is Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials about?

Dr. Jeffrey Friedman, an associate professor at Dartmouth College, reveals striking findings that seasoned national security professionals often misjudge uncertainty. This overview of his latest TNSR article, "The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials," covers how minor training can improve decision-making accuracy and highlights the importance of structured feedback and better calibration in national security judgments.

Where can I listen to Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials?

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Which podcast is Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials from?

Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials is an episode from Horns of a Dilemma by War on the Rocks.

How long is this episode?

This episode is 37:31 long.

When was this episode published?

This episode was published on Sep 23, 2025.

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Are there related episodes from Horns of a Dilemma?

Yes. This page shows related episodes from Horns of a Dilemma when more episodes are available from the podcast feed.

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Where can I listen to Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials?

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Which podcast is this episode from?

Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials is from Horns of a Dilemma by War on the Rocks.

What are the episode details?

Published Sep 23, 2025 and 37:31 long