Beyond the Hype: The Reality of Precision-Strike Weapons in Ukraine

Cameron Tracy joins to discuss his TNSR article on "technological surprise" and "normalization through use" in the Russo-Ukrainian war . He explains how forecasting about warfare often overweights extreme scenarios and is reinforced by professional and organizational incentives, producing hype with little accountability. We discuss drones, Russia's failure to gain air superiority, and four case studies: hypersonic-associated missiles (Kinzhal, Tsirkon) intercepted by Patriot systems, the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile's quick normalization after alarmist reactions, and Russia's effective UMPK glide bomb kits. Hosts: Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Ryan Vest Producer: Jordan Morning

You can listen to Beyond the Hype: The Reality of Precision-Strike Weapons in Ukraine online on Radio and Podcast. Open the player on this page to stream the available audio.

Beyond the Hype: The Reality of Precision-Strike Weapons in Ukraine is an episode from Horns of a Dilemma by War on the Rocks.

This episode is 46:09 long.

This episode was published on Apr 29, 2026.

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