BayesWatch – Stephan on EA/Rat differences, Iliad Intensive, & the AI Safety Musical
Stephan Wäldchen at Lighthaven See this video on YouTube Apply to the Illiad Intensive Out of this Box – the AI Musical
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The Bayesian Conspiracy
Episodes
20 of 349 episodes272 – Rat Goss, and Podcast Meta
A bunch of Rationalist gossip and updates, and a meta discussion about the podcast. LINKS Caroline Ellison has joined Manifund TracingWoodgr...
BayesWatch – Moma: Aella makes her community safer for women
Moma talks about how Aella’s influence makes her community safer for women. Also her SlutCon 2026 experience. See video at https://www...
271 – PlzDontKillUs, and Tell Your Parents, w Keltan
We talk to Keltan, from MIRI, about his opinions of short form video, PlzDontKillUs, telling our parents about AI, and how Eneasz’s fi...
270 – The AIs Aren’t Aligned and Everyone Is Finally Noticing, w Matt Freeman
We asked Matt to come on for a different topic, and we had to pivot to the latest AI stuff because it’s so big. LINKS Rick Rescorla ,...
269 – The Power of Specificity in Argument
A lot of updates and feedback before the main post. Then we get into The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments by Liron. LINKS The Power to Demoli...
extra – Vishal: Short form video is kinda Satanic
Vishal talks about PlzDontKillUs and short form video culture. Plus AI Doom! Vishal’s Blog Vishal’s Compute Cop video, and also...
268 – The Other Sexual Orientation & Disappearing the Kinky
Wes joins us! We discuss Aella’s post The Other Sexual Orientation . Then we find fault with a Kegan-level-4 post about how CNC Kink s...
extra – Milo on PlzDontKillUs, short form video, and rationality
Milo’s favorite video – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8YYwlIWI2E&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss plzdontkillus – https://...
extra – Jessiah on HPMOR, video essays, and fiction
Jessiah Mellot talks about HPMOR, and the video essay he made about HPMOR for PlzDontKillUs. Watch this on Youtube here see Jessiah’s...
267 – HuggingFace Hack & Effective Altruism Funding Flood
First feedback, then we talk about OpenAI’s latest megamodel independently commiting cybercrime in a world-first incident. Then the Ha...
266 – AI2040 Plan A Rundown
We go through AI2040 Plan A in years. LINKS AI-2040 AskWho Casts Pro Tomas Bjartur’s “The Company Man” and “The Orig...
265 – VibeCamp 5 with Wes, Gina, and Mary
Steven is joined by the hosts of the Sex and Sensibility podcast! Join us as we explore the vibrant world of VibeCamp, a unique gathering wh...
264 – Becoming a Romantic with Damon and Ivy
Eneasz and Steven are at LessOnline/SummerCamp and Steven was lucky enough to attend a short presentation by Damon (Daystar Eld) and Ivy on...
263 – Human Values Were Forged in Malthusian Competition
Our values are robust against Moloch because they were forged in his flames. LINKS When does competition lead to recognisable values? Our ep...
262 – EA Veganism Revisited
In Episode 258 we talked about EA Veganism for a bit… and that bit was not long enough. So here we go again! Fill out Steven’s 3...
261 – The Button That Almost Nuked Glosso Got Eneasz Instead
The stupid red-button/blue-button discourse came back. Eneasz thought he could sit out this round until Aella went Chaos God with her social...
260 – The Right to be Wrong About Doom
We discuss how far the right to be wrong goes, a recent intra-rat kerfuffle, and why random violence is bad. And it’s secretly all abo...
259 – Chill Out on AI in 2028?
Matt returns to discuss a post urging us to chill out on AI if there isn’t imminent doom in 2028. There is no video or preshow chat to...
258 – How Effective Altruism Has Evolved
We talk about three EA-adjacent articles, hitting veganism , directing your donations , and community . LINKS Why you should eat meat –...