The NBA's Tanking Problem Has a Mathematical Solution — But Owners Won't Like It On The Ball with Ric Bucher

Is the NBA draft lottery rigged to reward losing? Veteran NBA insider Ric Bucher sits down with Dr. TJ Highley , Associate Professor of Math & Computer Science at LaSalle University, who has developed a groundbreaking anti-tanking formula that could change the NBA forever — and it doesn't involve eliminating the draft. Highley's COLA (Carryover Lottery Allocation) system strips tanking of its incentive by rewarding playoff history instead of regular season losses. Teams would accumulate lottery tickets over time based on sustained failure — not deliberate losing — making intentional tanking mathematically pointless. But Bucher pushes back with 30 years of hard-won NBA knowledge: not every owner wants to win. Some — following the Donald Sterling playbook — are perfectly content selling hope while pocketing profits. Can any formula fix that? Plus: Bucher delivers a candid reassessment of the Denver Nuggets title chances and why the Michael Porter Jr. trade may have cost them more than anyone realized — rebounding. And a sharp takedown of the analytics crowd that thinks they've cracked the code on building a championship team. ⏱️ TIMESTAMPS 00:00 — Intro & Book Announcement 02:02 — Meet Dr. TJ Highley: The Math Professor Trying to Fix NBA Tanking 03:31 — His NBA Fandom: Spurs to Sixers & "The Process" 05:21 — COLA Explained: How Playoff History Replaces Regular Season Records 07:57 — Has Any NBA Insider Reviewed This System? 09:59 — Simple COLA: A Brand-New Version Revealed for the First Time 13:35 — Should the NBA Abolish the Draft? Ric Says No — Emphatically 15:06 — The Fatal Flaw in Every Anti-Tanking Proposal: Owners Who Don't Want to Win 27:28 — The Donald Sterling Blueprint: How Tanking Became a Business Model 30:10 — Denver Nuggets: Why Ric Is Second-Guessing His Championship Pick 35:01 — The Michael Porter Jr. Trade: What Ric Got Wrong 38:05 — The Hidden Cost: Rebounding and Why It Matters at Crunch Time 43:54 — Final Verdict: Can the Nuggets Come Out of the West? 44:32 — Outro & Sponsor: New Air Club #NBADraft#Tanking#NBALottery#DenverNuggets#NikolaJokic#RicBucher#OnTheBall#NBAAnalysis#Basketball#MichaelPorterJr#CamJohnson#NBAInsider#SportsPodcast#NBADebate#AntiTanking#COLA#NBAReform#SmallMarketNBA#UnitedWeCast Support this show . Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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The NBA's Tanking Problem Has a Mathematical Solution — But Owners Won't Like It On The Ball with Ric Bucher is an episode from On The Ball with Ric Bucher by Ric Bucher.

This episode is 45:58 long.

This episode was published on Mar 5, 2026.

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