Copper's Supply-Side Story
Copper output has been stagnating or declining since 2015, with the pandemic causing mine closures in top producer Chile.
Radio and PodcastLive Radio & PodcastsBusiness
Off the Charts!
CME Group Chief Economist Blu Putnam's series Off The Charts! examines the pertinent economic issues of the day in the United States and across the globe. The podcast series provides a deepe...
Episodes
20 of 33 episodesTreasury Options Skews
Do options skews in Treasuries provide any guidance on market trend? We look into whether extreme downside skews signal a buying opportunity...
Oil: Are Options Skews Reliable Price Indicators?
Investors in the oil market seem to be more concerned over a market slump than a rally, as reflected in out-of-the-money options skews. Were...
Oil: Are Options Signaling Long-Term Uncertainty?
Oil prices have bounced off their recent lows but the implied volatility in options is indicating uncertainty in the market's direction over...
Brexit: Classic Case of an Approaching Major Event Risk
Outcome of talks for UK's exit from the European Union under Brexit presents a classic case of event risk that could reach a climax in Novem...
Trade War Fallout Reverberates Through Markets, Economy
Large-cap U.S. stocks are much more vulnerable to the fallout from the trade war between the U.S. and China because of their complex global...
Oil: As Price Tops $70, Will Shale Producers Ramp Up Output?
As crude oil prices top $70 per barrel amid escalating Mideast geopolitical risk premium, will shale producers ramp up output as they lock i...
Fed's Challenges as its Steers Away From Emergency Policies
The Fed faces several key challenges as it charts a new monetary course in the aftermath of the emergency policies put in place during the B...
Li Keqiang Index: China's Alternative Growth Barometer
An index named for China's prime minister seems to provide better insight into its growth than official GDP. What's in store for the world's...
Phase Transitions and the Rise in Market Volatility
From growing U.S. budget deficits to potential trade wars and the end of quantitative easing, several "phase transitions" could fire up mark...
global-trade-disputes-take-center-stage-in-2018
From U.S. import tariffs on steel and aluminum to the uncertain future of NAFTA and tough Brexit negotiations, trade issues are taking cente...
Bitcoin: Supply Growth, Mining Difficulty and Prospects in 2018
Bitcoin supply is likely to grow by less than 5% in 2018 as the cryptocurrency edges closer to its production cap and as mining difficulty r...
Ag Hedging Costs Could Spike if La Niña Strikes
Grain markets are not overly concerned of a La Niña, with options implied volatility near lows, but hedging costs could spike quickly if the...
Quantitative Easing: The Way Out for Central Banks
How will central banks' unwinding of quantitative easing, starting with the Federal Reserve, impact financial markets in the U.S., Europe an...
Impact of Low Inflation Expectations on Wages
The lackluster growth in U.S. wages can be attributed, in part, to expectations of low inflation, which has remained subdued for more than t...
Oil: U.S. Output and OPEC Production Cuts
The trajectory of oil prices will depend on whether U.S. inventories continue to fall, OPEC members adhere to output cuts, and if U.S. produ...
China: Does Yield Curve Portend a Recession?
Is China heading toward a recession? It's nascent yield curve is pointing to a possible major slowdown in the world's second-largest economy...
The Differing Nature of Event Risk
The Brexit vote in Britain and the presidential election in the United States offer a glimpse into the differing nature of event risk that d...
Volatility is Lethargic Even as Uncertainty Abounds
Uncertainty and volatility are different risk management concepts. More uncertainty does not necessarily mean more volatile markets, as in t...
Could Fed Rate Hikes Trigger Flight to Quality?
As interest rates in the United States go higher over the next two years, will it trigger a flight to quality into bonds on both sides of th...