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Prediction is Hard, Especially about Confidence Levels artwork
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Prediction is Hard, Especially about Confidence Levels

Net Assessment by Ryan Evans

Chris, Melanie, and Zack discuss the confidence problem among national security experts. As Jeffrey Friedman shows in a recent Texas National Security Review article, experts are often right but almost always overconfide...

About This Episode

Prediction is Hard, Especially about Confidence Levels is an episode from Net Assessment by Ryan Evans. Chris, Melanie, and Zack discuss the confidence problem among national security experts. As Jeffrey Friedman shows in a recent Texas Nat...

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This episode belongs to Net Assessment.

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Episode Details

Published Oct 2, 2025, 57:46 long, audio available.