Newmont’s Stellar Q1, Arizona Capex Blowouts & Trump’s Project Vault with Analyst Joe Mazumdar

Bill Powers interviews Joe Mazumdar of Exploration Insights about Q1 2026 results from major gold miners, focusing on Newmont’s 16% year-over-year production decline alongside a much higher realized gold price, modestly higher AISC, expanding EBITDA margins, and sharply higher free cash flow that is being directed to dividends and buybacks rather than major growth CapEx. Mazumdar argues reserve growth has relied on mega-mergers while organic reserve replacement and new-project spending remain limited, supporting higher commodity prices. The discussion then shifts to capital-cost blowouts at South32’s Hermosa/Taylor project and the negative-NPV PEA from Arizona Metals, emphasizing recurring risks in underground projects and how majors can absorb overruns unlike juniors. They cover Kodiak/Teck’s Arizona copper SpinCo concept, Trump’s proposed critical minerals “project vault” and price floors, and criminal fraud charges tied to altered assays at a junior, concluding with board oversight and compensation incentives. 00:00 Intro 00:16 Newmont Q1 Results Breakdown 01:16 Margins Surge on Gold Price 03:35 Cash Returns vs Reserve Growth 05:54 Do Majors Still Explore 08:48 Why Divest Small Mines 12:21 Incentives Drive Strategy 16:00 South32 Hermosa Capex Blowout 23:13 Arizona Metals PEA Shock 27:31 Underground Project Pitfalls 28:54 Supply Crunch and M&A 30:57 Arizona Copper Spinco 34:37 Founder Shares Concerns 36:32 Critical Metals Project Vault 41:14 Assay Fraud and Enforcement 45:00 Board Pay and Incentives 48:58 Newsletter and Site Visits Joe Mazumdar’s website: Follow Joe on Twitter: Sign up for our free newsletter and receive interview transcripts, stock profiles and investment ideas: Mining Stock Education (MSE) offers informational content based on available data but it does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice. It may not be appropriate for all situations or objectives. Readers and listeners should seek professional advice, make independent investigations and assessments before investing. MSE does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its content and should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions. MSE and its owner may hold financial interests in the companies discussed and can trade such securities without notice. MSE is biased towards its advertising sponsors which make this platform possible. MSE is not liable for representations, warranties, or omissions in its content. By accessing MSE content, users agree that MSE and its affiliates bear no liability related to the information provided or the investment decisions you make. Full disclaimer:

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Newmont’s Stellar Q1, Arizona Capex Blowouts & Trump’s Project Vault with Analyst Joe Mazumdar is an episode from Mining Stock Education by Mining Stock Education.

This episode is 00:53:20 long.

This episode was published on May 5, 2026.

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