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Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.
Galen speaks with Nathaniel Rakich and Mary Radcliffe in this late night reaction to President Trump's address to Congress. Learn more about...
Congress has kept relatively quiet during the first month of President Donald Trump's second term, but in the coming weeks it will be thrust...
It has been a difficult month for Americans afraid of flying. On Jan. 29, an American Airlines jet collided with a Black Hawk helicopter ove...
The Democratic Party has reached at least a 15-year low in the public’s view, according to a recent Quinnipiac poll. Fifty-seven percent of...
In honor of Presidents’ Day, in this installment of the 538 Politics podcast Galen speaks with constitutional law professor Peter Shane abou...
On this Valentine’s Day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen is joined by Daniel Cox and Kelsey Eyre Hammond of the Survey Center...
In this post-Super Bowl edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew kicks things off with some prop bets and a look at the rapid rise of s...
In the post-war world order, the United States and Europe have been among the closest of allies. What happens if President Donald Trump upen...
After months of promising to impose tariffs on U.S. trading partners, President Donald Trump has made good on his word. On Friday, he announ...
This week, the Trump administration oversaw a federal funding fiasco. The Office of Management and Budget issued a memo attacking DEI progra...
President Donald Trump begins his second term as one of the least popular presidents in modern polling history. Yet, many of his policies —...
The first few days of President Donald Trump’s second term have featured an avalanche of executive orders. But Trump’s authority as commande...
The crew reacts to President Donald Trump’s second inaugural address, as well as Trump’s plans for issuing dozens of executive orders. Learn...
With just days remaining in President Joe Biden’s term, the crew reflects on the past four years and tries to determine how this administrat...
With one week remaining before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the nation is orienting itself towards his policy goals. Will th...
This is the third installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” Across three episodes, we're taking a look back...
What’s on the horizon for American politics in 2025? In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, the team dives into what lies ahead. They...
This is the second installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” Across three episodes, we're taking a look bac...
This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” Across three episodes, we're taking a look back...
What would you save to remember 2024 in politics? In the second part of our end-of-year series on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew builds...
How do you measure a year? In votes cast? Money spent? Or in “seasons of love”? On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast,...
Earlier this year, as President-elect Donald Trump mounted his campaign to return to the presidency, it seemed like one of the biggest barri...
What even happened last week?! On this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew catches Galen up as he returns from a rare week away fr...
In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election. Why did Democrats have lower turnout...
Galen is out today, so 538’s Nathaniel Rakich steps in to guide the crew through the numbers. They unpack President Joe Biden’s surprise dec...
In this Thanksgiving week installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew sits down for a three-course discussion. First, a new poll sugge...
Election Day was a moment of truth for pollsters. After high-profile misses in 2016 and 2020, and with a public that has become less trustin...
We are beginning to get a clearer view of what a second Trump administration might look like. President-elect Donald Trump is announcing his...
Latino voters made a big jump to the right this election cycle. While the numbers aren’t final, AP Votecast reports an 8-point shift and Edi...
Since Election Day, there’s been no shortage of hot takes explaining what happened and what it all means. Have Democrats lost the working cl...
In this late-night, election-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the results showing Donald Trump winning a second...
At long last, Election Day is upon us. In this final pre-results episode, the crew shares a guide for what to expect on election night — fro...
Polls were coming in hot and heavy over the weekend! In fact, 164 surveys were entered into the 538 database since Friday. In this Election...
It’s not just election season; it’s spooky season, too. In this Halloween installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew opens up the mai...
Looking back on the 2020 election, the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day stands out as one of the most fraught and uncertain in...
Last week, John Kelly, former President Donald Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, said Trump fit the definition of a “fascist.” Democra...
We are awash in data. As Election Day draws near, and new polls continue to pile up, our information overload will only intensify. So today...
For decades, Republicans were thought of as the country club set, while Democrats were the party of the working class. But increasingly, edu...
With Election Day just two weeks away, Republicans and Democrats are zeroing in on undecided voters. But the profile of the typical swing vo...
We talk plenty about the presidential race on the 538 Politics podcast, but of course, that is not the only thing on the ballot this Novembe...
With three weeks until Election Day, the 538 crew analyzes the state of what remains an extremely close presidential race. They also wade in...
For those in swing states, political ads are an inescapable part of life. But if you haven’t experienced the blitz firsthand, this episode o...
There is officially less than a month until Election Day. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we consider what it would mean fo...
The crew reacts to the first and only vice-presidential debate between Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Ohio Sen. JD Vance in this late-night pod...
There's a lot going on in the world as we head into the final stretch of the 2024 election: a devastating hurricane, a growing war in the Mi...
We are in the frantic final weeks of the presidential campaign, which means Americans are obsessing over polling data more than usual. At 53...
As early voting kicks off in states across the country, the crew dives into an intensifying election season on this week’s installment of th...
Earlier this year, it seemed like the long-standing pattern of Black voters as steadfast Democrats was shifting, with a record-high percenta...
The U.S. Secret Service thwarted another apparent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump over the weekend. In this installme...
The crew reacts to the first presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in this late night p...