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Excess Returns

Excess Returns

Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau, partners at Validea. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics, including factor investin...

Episodes

20 of 586 episodes

Seven Stocks Are 41% of the S&P | John Davi on Building Portfolios Beyond the Mag 7 Bet

John Davi of Astoria Investment Management explains how he builds diversified portfolios in a tech dominated market. With Jack Forehand and...

00:57:46Nov 3, 2026

Chip Stocks Look Cheap. AI Spending Is Surging. So Why Is Cameron Dawson Watching for Peak Earnings?

Cameron Dawson and Dave Nadig join Matt Zeigler to examine what could break the market's resilience, from AI earnings expectations to the we...

00:51:31Nov 2, 2026

Tech is Selling Off. AI Debt Fears Are Rising. So Why Does a $4B Manager See a Reverse Bubble?

Jay Hatfield of Infrastructure Capital Advisors makes the case for an AI "reverse bubble" and explains how earnings growth, interest rates,...

01:02:41Oct 30, 2026

The S&P 500 Is Just 50 Stocks. The Nasdaq Is a 67% AI Bet. Kai Wu on What Else Is Hiding in Your Funds

Kai Wu of Sparkline Capital shows how to uncover hidden AI exposure, overlapping ETF holdings, and unintended factor bets in your portfolio....

01:11:27Oct 29, 2026

Dr. Daniel Crosby on Behaviorally Optimal Portfolios, Risk Composure and the Casino Myth

Daniel Crosby explains why investors can lose money in winning funds and how to build a portfolio they can actually hold. Picking the right...

00:50:29Oct 27, 2026

Baird's Tech Strategist Says This Isn't 2000. So Why Is He Warning Against Buying the Dip?

Ted Mortonson of Baird explains why conviction in the AI boom doesn't mean buying every dip in tech stocks. He joins Jack Forehand and Justi...

01:04:29Oct 24, 2026

He Asked 25 Finance Pros How They Invest Their Own Money: Brian Portnoy on What the Models Get Wrong

Brian Portnoy of Shaping Wealth explores why experienced investors build very different portfolios—and what that means for your own money. I...

00:57:04Oct 23, 2026

Rob Arnott on the Hidden Costs of Passive Investing and the Real Winners From AI

Rob Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates and chairman of Syzygy Asset Management, examines S&P 500 concentration and who could benefit mos...

01:09:23Oct 21, 2026

The S&P 500 Is Only 50 Stocks. 70% of the Index Is in a Correction. Did the Sell-Off Already Happen?

Paisley Nardini of Tema ETFs explores AI investing, S&P 500 concentration, and how to build a portfolio around changing market risks. How ca...

01:03:04Oct 18, 2026

We Asked T. Rowe Price's $17B International Manager Why Value is Winning Again — and What the S&P 500 Leaves Out

Colin McQueen of T. Rowe Price explains what is changing for international value stocks and how he separates cheap businesses from opportuni...

01:02:34Oct 17, 2026

Tech Is Rolling Over. Yields Are Falling. Why Jim Paulsen is Watching the Walmart Recession Signal

Jim Paulsen sees a risk of a stock market correction as financial conditions tighten and investors grow comfortable with tech's long run of...

01:03:01Oct 16, 2026

AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again?

Barry Ritholtz, Dave Nadig and Matt Zeigler explore why AI's real productivity gains don't automatically translate into an investing edge. F...

01:06:53Oct 14, 2026

The Winners That Get Away | Chris Davis and Robert Hagstrom on Holding Great Businesses

Chris Davis and Robert Hagstrom explore the tension between holding great businesses and keeping a winning stock from becoming too much port...

01:14:21Oct 11, 2026

Katie Stockton Still Sees a Bull Market. So Why Is Her ETF Only 50% in Stocks?

Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies explains why the S&P 500 can reach record highs while many individual stocks struggle. She sees the bu...

00:41:55Oct 8, 2026

Tom Maher on Small-Cap Investing, AI Infrastructure and Opportunities Beyond Big Tech

Tom Maher of Hilton Capital Management explains what is changing for small-cap stocks as earnings improve and AI spending reaches beyond big...

01:05:52Oct 7, 2026

Ed Yardeni Still Sees S&P 10,000 by 2029. So Why Is He Getting More Cautious?

Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research explains why he still sees the S&P 500 reaching 10,000 by 2029, even as higher oil prices and bond yields mak...

00:59:22Oct 4, 2026

The 10-Year Hit a 24-Year High. Nobody Is Buying Puts. Are You Watching the Wrong Market?

Andy Constan, Brent Kochuba and Eric Pachman examine rising bond yields, options positioning and the inflation risks facing stocks. What hap...

00:56:04Oct 3, 2026

They Beat All US Stock Funds Since 2003 | Michael Baron on the AI Winners Investors Miss

Michael Baron of Baron Capital explains his case for AI beneficiaries beyond the biggest tech stocks, including software companies the marke...

01:02:17Oct 1, 2026

The Game Was Rigged in Their Favor. 28% Went Bust Anyway | Kris Abdelmessih on How to Size Bets

How much of your portfolio does a good investment idea deserve? Kris Abdelmessih of Moontower joins Matt Zeigler to explain why having an ed...

00:50:10Sep 29, 2026

We Asked the Data Journalist Who Rebuilt the Jobs Report What the Headline Number Hides

What are headline jobs and inflation numbers missing about the economy investors actually face? Eric Pachman of Data 4 The People joins Matt...

01:13:43Sep 26, 2026