The Metaculus Threat To Democracy Index
In recent posts on Trump and dictatorship , people have asked me - how do you know you're not suffering from Trump Derangement Syndrome? I t...
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Astral Codex Ten Podcast
The official audio version of Astral Codex Ten, with an archive of posts from Slate Star Codex. It's just me reading Scott Alexander's blog posts.
Astral Codex Ten Podcast Podcast Guide
Listen to Astral Codex Ten Podcast, a Technology podcast by Jeremiah Prophet. Stream 1,170 episodes in English, follow new audio stories, and play episodes online on Radio and Podcast.
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20 of 1,170 episodesShould People Avoid Whole-Body Screening Info?
The most controversial part of last week's article on the Midjourney ultrasound scanner was medical experts' recommendation against whole-bo...
Preliminary Thoughts On The Midjourney Scanner
like that, except from a medium-sized startup instead of a tech giant. Earlier today, they announced a pivot to medical scanners. The new Mi...
Waiting For The Miracle
In 1917, three children in Fatima, Portugal claimed to have seen the Virgin Mary. They promised she would perform a miracle on a certain day...
Never Cross a River Four Feet Deep on Average
Guest post by Alexander "Sasha" Putilin [This is a guest post by 2024 ACX grantee Sasha Putilin. I encourage any ACX grantees who are intere...
My AI Opinions
I recently had a minor spat over someone misinterpreting my AI beliefs (see section marked "Update" at the bottom here ), so I thought I wou...
Book Review: The Dialectical Imagination
The philosophers of the Frankfurt School practiced a technique called negative dialectics, where concepts are defined as much by what you ca...
Use AI This Election
I'm not saying AI is superintelligent or can decide better than you can. I'm saying that if you - like me - spend an hour or so doing resear...
New Paradigms Won't Save You
One popular objection to AI concerns is to declare that LLMs can never be AGI. You need a "new paradigm". Therefore, AGI is so far in the fu...
The Types Of Candidate You Find In The California Gubernatorial Race
Sorry, I give up. In past elections, I've covered every single candidate for governor of California, from the incumbents all the way down to...
The Sigmoids Won't Save You
"All exponentials eventually become sigmoids" is an annoying AI talking point. If someone presents a graph like this… ….and points out that...
Nostalgebraist's Hydrogen Jukeboxes
In conclusion , the only good theory of taste is Nostalgebraist's. He wrote a post called Hydrogen Jukeboxes , analyzing the literary output...
Three Model Organisms For Taste
(a continuation of yesterday's post ) Reddit Vexillology Vexillology is the c. elegans of aesthetics - the simplest model organism that lets...
Contra Everyone On Taste
Last year I wrote a piece on artistic taste , which got many good responses from (eg) Ozy , Frank Lantz , and Sympathetic Opposition . I tas...
What Deontological Bars?
Constraint consequentialists believe that you should try to do good things that improve the world, unless those break hard-and-fast rules ("...
Your Attempt To Solve Debate Will Not Work
As a blogger, I hear about lots of projects to "solve debate", or "disagree better", or "map arguments". Often these are ACX grant applicati...
Links For April 2026
[I haven't independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in e...
Half A Month Of Consolation Writing Advice
This month, rationalist institution Lighthaven is running their second Inkhaven , a bootcamp for aspiring bloggers. Participants have to pub...
Orban Was Bad, Even Though We Don't Have A Perfect Word For His Badness
Viktor Orban , __________ of Hungary for sixteen years, lost his re-election bid earlier this week. The simplest phrase to put in the blank...
Against The Concept Of Telescopic Altruism
I. "Telescopic altruism" is a supposed tendency for some people to ignore those close to them in favor of those further away. Like its cousi...